What Andy Black can tell you about succeeding in a Digital Economy – Interview with Amina Maikori

What Andy Black can tell you about succeeding in a Digital Economy

What Andy Black can tell you about succeeding in a Digital Economy

He is a Director of Andy Black Associates, a London based Digital Media firm. He began his career in Film, Television and Theatre before making the switch from traditional analogue media to digital media-that’s close to an impressive thirty years ago! Andy’s message on his website is a constant reminder to visitors that having digital presence is profitable for all businesses:

‘Are you ready for the Digital Economy?’ It says.

Those who have attended Andy’s training courses know that he is very practical in his teaching methods with great insights on ways to manage a fast growing numbers of digital channels. Andy has a process: he tries and then tests the latest apps and digital platforms before introducing them to you.

The digital economy is huge. Think Konga, think Dealdey don’t forget Amazon or eBay. Part of world globalization includes the luxury of getting across to people, opportunities and products regardless of distance, language , time or even business type.

Here’s an interview I did of Andy about three weeks ago. He tells you just how relevant Digital Media is to you and how you can own it.

Amina: Thanks for agreeing to do this interview. Could  you start off by telling me a little bit about yourself?

Andy: I am Andy Black, a 50 something digital consultant, I have been running my own digital consultancy for 3 years and have been working in the technology sector for over 25 years.

In the 1970’s I was a pupil at Emanuel School in London where my contemporaries included Sir Tim Berners-Lee, the creator of the web, Sir Sebastian Wood, UK Ambassador in Germany and Matthew Taylor, Chief Executive of the Royal Society for the encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (RSA).

In the early 1980’s I was a student at the Bristol Old Vic Theatre School where I received practical training in film, TV, radio and acting. My contemporaries at Bristol included Daniel Day-Lewis, Miranda Richardson and Samantha Bond – in this sort of company I soon realised my limitations and became an expert in spear carrying.

I worked professionally in film, TV and theatre for 2 years before joining a Soho video production company in 1987 that was launching the first analogue to digital film tech – that was 30 years ago!

Since then I have worked in data analysis, information services, search software, intelligence gathering, digital marketing & content creation. I am divorced, happily single and have a 28 year old son who is getting married next year. I look forward to being a digital granddad.

What Andy Black can tell you about succeeding in a Digital Economy

Andy (left) worked in film, TV and theatre for 2 years – here appearing as Oberon in a 1983 production of Shakespeare’s A Midsummer Nights Dream at the Bristol Old Vic with Lisa Bowerman as Titania and Tony Howes as Puck 

Amina: Digital grandad! That would an interesting title, definitely. When and why did you make the transition from traditional to digital media?

Andy: My transition from traditional analogue media to digital media occurred in 1987 when I started working for TeleTape Video Ltd. They introduced the first analogue to digital video display technology to the UK, and I joined a team of 4 young edgy techie creatives who started to play with and evolve commercial services with the new technology. Lots of late nights, laughter, hard work and busy weekends.

I became a digital obsessive and tried out things like subliminal messaging and building digital sculptures with monitors that displayed video & information. We were involved in lots of interesting projects including the launch of Sky TV, video displays at the Conservative Party conference and lots of air and defence trade shows. I will always remember working on the the launch of SkyTV at the National Theatre, the highlight was Rupert Murdoch slowly walking through a swirling sea of dry ice engulfing two of our huge videowall sculptures as he launched Sky TV to the assembled global media – you can imagine the pressure on me in the control room!!

In 1990 I was headhunted to join Perfect Information a City start-up, where digital was used to scan original company documents and newspaper cuttings to create a unique image based real-time information service for City clients such as Goldman Sachs, Cazenove and Kroll Associates – I learnt on the job about data management, ISDN, metadata, information, RAID, internet, broadband, cloud computing, telecoms, optical storage – as well as how the City and M&A teams operate.

In 1996 I joined Excalibur Technologies, a US based advanced search software company, where I worked on projects including web crawling for Factiva, advanced search software for ProQuest and the Excalibur rapid rebuttal database for the Labour Party. In many ways Twitter and automated bots have now democratised rapid rebuttal. Unfortunately it has also led to memes, fake news and algorithmic manipulation being used as a type of information warfare to distort traditional news flows and disrupt public opinion. It is fascinating to watch the analogue to digital revolution.

Amina: It must have been exciting to be part of that revolution. What do you find is the major difference between the two?

Andy: A digital file is cheap, made once and can be easily stored, copied and also shared an infinite number of times. A printed book is expensive to print and also difficult to share or store. The economics of digital totally disrupts any sector it touches. Every business needs a digital transformation strategy otherwise they risk being Blockbuster when their customers want Netflix.

Amina: For a lot of people, digital or social media is what they do on the go with no specific time scheduled for it. Your case obviously is different, perhaps with more structure. What is a typical day like for you?

Andy: I am connected 24/7 and regularly monitor Twitter for news, Facebook for news from friends, LinkedIn for news from connections, Twitter Lists for expert news and Google Custom Search for key website content for projects i am working on. I also use extensive Boolean search operators and scripts to retrieve deep web information that is not indexed by Google. When not working at a client site or on a specific project, my typical day is as follows:

At 08.00 am I normally start by checking Twitter for trends and news – I then curate interesting stories regarding the digital economy and use scheduling tools so my tweets appear at the optimum time for my followers, which is between 1pm-4pm – I normally send 5 tweets and 1 LinkedIn share a day. I use Twitter saved searches, Twitter Lists, Google Custom Search and Hootsuite to make this fast and efficient.

After this I monitor trending topics and hashtags to see if I can “newsjack” a relevant trend and share a link to my website – this is a very effective tactic for growing followers and increasing traffic to my website. I normally complete this by 10.00am.

What Andy Black can tell you about succeeding in a Digital Economy

More web pages are now viewed on a mobile than a PC – is your content & website mobile friendly?

Then I login to my website, check emails from website visitors, check my SEO, Google Analytics, Adwords and Woorank to make sure my pages and ads are all functioning. A key daily task is monitoring for any changes in the Google, Facebook and Twitter algorithms, these three companies are now the gatekeepers for news and content and any changes they make can have a dramatic effect on content marketing and digital campaigns. I finish this by 10.30.

From 10.30am to 12.00 i do my admin, other business emails, proposals, Skype calls with my associates. In the afternoons I attend meetings or go to the Frontline Club to work.

In the evening I normally do 1-2 hours reading, OSINT deep web research or try out new software/apps. Google only indexes 5% of the Internet so an understanding of information resources on the deep web is absolutely vital, otherwise you may make “fake decisions”.

Amina: The digital sphere is flooded with all kinds of apps and social media channels, if you’re an outsider it’s a bit hard to decide on which one to embrace or ignore. Which 5 platforms would you say are an absolute must for organizations or businesses and why?

Andy: Whilst there are regional and demographic differences, I think the current 5 key platforms are;

  • Facebook (Page, Live, analytics, ads, Messenger)
  • Twitter (ads, analytics, Periscope, lists, geo-location search, advanced search)
  • LinkedIn (ads, SlideShare, posts, advanced search – and soon Skype)
  • Hootsuite (social media management/engagement, Hootlet, apps, scheduling)
  • Website (SEO, mobile responsive, AdWords, blog, YouTube, navigation, ecommerce, Skype)

Your website should be the hub, with social channels linking to it.

Amina: Let’s take a look at the digital economy. I notice it’s the first thing that pops up on your page. More specifically, we see the question ‘ Are you ready for the digital economy?’ Why is that such an important thing?

Andy: Digital technology is reshaping traditional industry, especially those sectors that rely on direct engagement with consumers (for example, marketing, PR and design) and technological innovation (for example. science and high tech). Education, however, is the sector with the lowest proportion of digital businesses.

What Andy Black can tell you about succeeding in a Digital Economy

Countries like India, Nigeria, Brazil are using digital and mobile to transform their economies.

Digital is ubiquitous. Mobile devices are everywhere and countries like India, Nigeria, Brazil are using digital and mobile to transform their economies. This represents huge opportunities for collaboration, trade and knowledge sharing, organisations that fail to grasp these opportunities will go out of business .

Amina: Finally, what do businesses and organizations need to do to get ready for the digital economy?

Andy: They need to move away from hierarchical structures to self-organising networks.

what andy black can tell you about succeeeding in the digital economy

What Andy Black can tell you about succeeding in a Digital Economy

Move from hierarchical structures to self-organising networks.

Take a look at how the Labour Party used crowdfunding, crowdsourcing bots and AI in the 2017 UK General Election!

If you want to know more about the Digital Economy follow  Andy Black Associates on Twitter ‪@AndyBlacz ‬.

You can also access their free Advanced digital toolkit here.

Finally , check out how sales work in the old days versus now. Yes, just look at that for a moment. Or two.What Andy Black can tell you about succeeding in a Digital Economy

This interview originally appeared on Amina Maikori’s blog.

Why are there more car-crash media interviews than ever?

The number of “car-crash” media interviews is rising all the time. Just over the last few days we’ve had Diane Abbott and Angela Rayner receiving the Nick Ferrari treatment on LBC. Other recent victims include government ministers like Chloe Smith, shadow ministers like Richard Burgon, elder statesmen like Ken Clarke and even party leaders, with the Green’s Natalie Bennett having an extraordinary “brain fade” in a pre-election interview in 2015.

So why are we getting so many more than ever? Why are politicians unable to cope in the spotlight? Here are five reasons:

The media is a results business, and broadcast journalists, in particular, can raise their profile by skewering a politician. Nick Ferrari’s profile went up no end last week after his interview with Diana Abbott, which quickly went viral. When Victoria Derbyshire riled Ken Clarke, goading him into disagreeing with her over the nature of rape, he had to fight to save his career – whereas hers got a huge boost. There is a big incentive for journalists to go hostile – more shares, more clicks, more revenue.

Over the last few years, MPs have come in for lots of stick – not least with the expenses scandal – and every aspect of their lives is now scrutinised. In fact, politicians remain the profession least trusted by the British public, even below bankers. The result? Only those with the thickest skin are standing for parliament, and bright, talented, knowledgeable people with just average skin thickness are no longer willing to put themselves forward – especially as they can earn so much more elsewhere. We’re narrowing the talent pool from which MPs are chosen, with the result that some of today’s politicians lack the intellectual authority of their predecessors.

The cult of youth means that many politicians are promoted to senior positions way too quickly, as experienced cabinet ministers go off to make money outside politics. According to research by Stephen Taylor of Exeter University, between 1964 and 1997 the average time between being first elected to parliament and being appointed to the cabinet or shadow cabinet was 12.6 years. For the period between 1997 and 2015 this figure had gone down to just eight years. Chloe Smith, slaughtered on Newsnight by Jeremy Paxman, entered Parliament in 2009 and was promoted to a ministerial post just two years later at the age of 29.

In this age of social media, voters are far more accustomed to public humiliation of others – from contestants on Britain’s Got Talent to celebrities and political leaders. There’s simply a greater appetite for aggressive interviews. Far from empathising with politicians as ordinary people doing their best, we see them as a breed apart, ripe for a good kicking. And social media only amplifies the mistakes, people love to share car-crash interviews and many have become viral memes.

The sheer number of broadcast media channels continues to rise exponentially. There are now nearly 500 TV channels available in the UK alone, all looking for content, and countless radio stations too. In the 1970s, there were basically three TV channels. Many more channels means many more interviews, and therefore much more chance for politicians to mess up live on air.

None of these trends is going to reverse anytime soon, so we can expect more car-crashes over the coming years. What is painfully obvious is that all public spokespeople need media training, sooner rather than later.

Andy Black Associates awarded G-Cloud 9 supplier agreement for UK Govt

Andy Black Associates has been awarded and officially listed as a G-Cloud 9 (G9) cloud hosting service provider for its suite of digital services for Parish Councils and local government. G9 services became available on the Digital Marketplace on 22nd May 2017.

The digital transformation of Parish Councils has begun. Parish Councils originated in medieval times and are the first level of government for UK citizens. Andy Black Associates provide Parish Councils with a low-cost, easy-to-use and customisable hosted WordPress website template, specifically designed for Parish Councils, that will enable them to improve engagement with the local community, comply with the 2015 Transparency Code and provide a better service for parishioners. The hosted website is also fully responsive when viewed on a mobile device.

The hosted cloud software-as-a-service for Parish Councils includes monthly backups, data storage, data security, support and access to a streamed video e-learning library that enables Parish Council members to easily learn how to customise their sites, enabling value added services such as how to add the minutes of meetings, how to create an email newsletter, how to integrate social media or how to add YouTube content.

The service was developed and iterated over the last year by collaborating with parish clerks, parish councillors and local government officers and is currently being rolled out by the Hereford Association of Local Councils, where over 50 Parish Councils have already adopted the cloud service. Some “early adopters” in this group are starting to develop their Parish Council websites into community hubs.

andy black associates awarded G-Cloud 9
Google Maps integration allows virtual walk-throughs of building applications

Lynda Wilcox, the Chief Executive of Hereford Association of Local Councils, said “The Parish Councils in Hereford using the service have already noticed an increase in the number of parishioners attending meetings, more engagement with older parishioners by email and also more younger parishioners turning up at meetings wanting to get involved in local democracy.”

Mark Millmore, ABA Director of Hosted Services, said “Our low-cost and easy-to-use hosted website template and hosted cloud service can be easily rolled out to any of the 8,356 Parish Councils in England and G-Cloud will be an important route for us to reach these government organisations.

Our software-as-a-service (SaaS) business model will enable Parish Councils to improve their service to the local community and allow significant savings from the Central Government budget allocated to the National Association of Local Councils (NALC’s) and its 38 independent County Associations for Transparency Code compliance for each of the 8,356 Parish Councils under their administration.

The ABA pricing matrix for Parish Council websites being offered to NALC and to each of the 38 independent County Associations is a one-off fee of £500 each for 1-10 websites, £400 each for 11-30 websites, £300 each for 31-50 websites, £250 each for 50+ websites and £200 each for 100+ websites, after the first year there is a £100 annual fee for each website that covers support, maintenance updates and backups. Our low-cost and easy-to-use cloud service will help Parish Councils comply with the Transparency Code and provide a better service to the local community.

Take a look at some examples of our Parish Council websites:

As such, we are delighted to have been awarded a place on the G9 Agreement, the latest iteration of G-Cloud, and can’t wait to take advantage of the many opportunities that the initiative offers for both suppliers and government bodies.”

Mark Millmore can be contacted on 07891108154 for further information.

G-Cloud is a Crown Commercial Service (CCS) initiative to encourage public sector adoption of cloud services by connecting government organisations with providers of all sizes in a secure and open environment. The CCS acts on behalf of the Crown to drive savings for the taxpayer and improve the quality of commercial and procurement activity across both local and central government.

To qualify for inclusion in G9, organisations need to prove that they are a suitable and secure potential partner for government technology projects. They must be prepared to list the capabilities of their products, along with indicative pricing. As a result, G9 provides public sector bodies with an open, secure and transparent digital marketplace in which to search for cloud solutions.

It also provides new business opportunities to businesses that pass the checks required to qualify for G9 status. Crown Commercial Service suppliers are given an opportunity to advertise their services to a wide range of interested public sector bodies in a competitive environment. Since it became available in 2012, UK government organisations have placed billions of pounds’ worth of orders through the service with most orders being won by SME’s.

What exactly is Open Source Intelligence and what are the benefits?

What exactly is Open Source Intelligence and what are the benefits?

Watch ABA Associate Arno Reuser talk about Open Source Intelligence in this video blog.

Arno is a professional librarian and information scientist with more than 30 years experience in information handling and processing. He was the founder of the Open Source Intelligence Bureau for the Dutch Defense Intelligence and Security Service (DISS) and currently holds the position of Senior Policy Advisor for OSINT and Cyber at the Dutch Ministry of Defence.

Arno was responsible for migrating the Dutch military intelligence library from an archival to a discovery capability. It involved efficiently extracting information from incoming streams of raw data and sharing relevant parts of the information with a virtual team of Dutch open source intelligence experts. In addition, the team used Arno’s search methodology to do research and collaboration using open source software, this enabled rapid analysis of incoming information and a fast evolution of it into intelligence. This innovative, low-cost and highly effective methodology inspired many EU, NATO and UN intelligence agencies.

Arno’s expertise is to design and use systems that can translate information requirements into actionable intelligence. Or, in other words, find pinpoint answers to questions, and to design and run training courses about this for govt and private sector clients.

In recognition for his contribution to the Intelligence Community, Arno was awarded the Golden Candle Award by OSS.net in Washington D.C.in 2003 and the Lifetime Award in 2004. He was nominated for Information Professional of the Year in 2010.

In 2018 Arno was appointed as one of the Technical Commissioners of the ITNJ Judicial Commission of Inquiry into Human Trafficking and Child Sex Abuse.

what is open source intelligence

Does endless message repetition really work?

Does endless message repetition really work? Over 20 years ago, Peter Mandelson spoke about messaging at a client event I organised. He was compelling, as you might imagine, full of great advice and revealing anecdotes. And I’ll remember to my dying day one particularly pithy piece of advice he gave: “It is only when you’re sick of hearing yourself repeat the same message over and over again that your audience is just beginning to get it.”

The truth of this was brought home to me last week when I saw some research by YouGov showing that only 15% of people polled could spontaneously recall Theresa May’s “Strong and stable” line. Considering the number of times Tory politicians have uttered those words, and with such sheer relentlessness – so much so that journalists and commentators have been pulling their hair out in frustration – you might have expected a better recall rate.

But given also that ‘strong and stable’ isn’t the most inspiring slogan ever, and that 67% of voters tell YouGov they are finding the election ‘boring’, a 15% recall rate is actually pretty good. And, in any case, those who say they will vote Tory (currently around 45%, according to the polls) might well be influenced by a slogan even if they can’t spontaneously recall it.

Does endless message repetition really work?

To my mind, Labour’s ‘For the many not the few’, which they’ve used for donkey’s years, is more evocative and powerful. Yet, during this election campaign their politicians haven’t repeated it with the same ruthless and robotic discipline that the Tories have mustered. So, according to YouGov, only 2% of people recall it. A poor return.

Drilling the message into the voter’s minds by endless repetition is, clearly, an important part of an election-winning strategy. But for communications strategists, there is another vital consideration: the slogan has to be credible. It has to have a ring of convincing and distinctive truth about it – preferably in a way that puts the opposing parties in a negative light.

For example, Ed Miliband could never have used ‘strong and stable’. It wouldn’t have suited him. Likewise, David Cameron would have struggled with ‘for the many not the few’, which, of course, made it all the more potent for Labour. But ‘strong and stable’ really is a good line for the doggedly determined Theresa May. Likewise, ‘take back control’ was a beautifully simple shorthand for the Leave campaign last summer, and ‘make America great again’ resonated with Trump supporters at least in part because it reflected the candidate’s seemingly unshakable self-belief. ‘Yes we can’ was the ideal accompaniment to Barack Obama’s young and fresh surge for the Presidency in 2008, as he broke through all sorts of glass ceilings.

It takes time to find the ideal strapline, mantra or slogan – in political marketing just as in advertising. It requires trial and error. But once you land on a line that works, you need to commit to it and, yes, repeat it as often as you dare. The lesson of this election, so far, is that endless repetition makes journalists groan and moan – but it really does work.

In the age of instant news and live streaming, leaders can benefit from media training

In the age of instant news and live streaming, leaders can benefit from media training. As Theresa May flew over the Atlantic to meet President Trump, she surely reflected upon how well she has picked her opponents. Labour is in a trough. The LibDems are climbing, but from the lowest of bases. UKIP, post-Farage, is an unknown quantity. Only the SNP is in the groove.

It all means that her position seems unassailable – even with the huge uncertainty over Brexit.

But for how long? As David Cameron knows, a leader can quickly go from hero to zero. Once the honeymoon period is over (and they all end eventually), May will be scrutinised like never before. And all those things that commentators are, for the moment, letting pass – an ill-conceived comment here, a botched decision there – will be used against her with far greater hostility and purpose than at present.

In the age of instant news and live streaming
The US and UK – a special relationship

The danger for May is particularly acute, as she is no natural performer. Yes, she is a serviceable public speaker when she’s in total control of what she says and how she says it, and she more than holds her own in the bear pit of PMQs against a limited opponent. But her challenge comes when interaction and spontaneity are required away from the House of Commons, such as in media interviews, press conferences and speaking on the hoof. Then she looks tense and awkward, sounds evasive and struggles to project warmth.

Naturally, people will compare her with Margaret Thatcher, who also had difficulty, particularly in the early days, with her media image. Thatcher realised this, and employed coaches to help her – and, as a result, she became reasonably good, though always better at conveying conviction than humanity.

Likewise, May needs to improve markedly. Her evasiveness is her most obvious challenge. Just like Gordon Brown, she seems to regard too many questions as potential banana skins. For sure, some questions can be dangerous, but not as many as May seems to think. Take her interview with the BBC’s Andrew Marr last Sunday. He asked her four times whether she knew about the Trident missile failure, and each time she dodged the question. The result? The watching audience assumes the worst – that she did know, but didn’t want to admit it. Cue a massive scrambling operation in Downing Street, and a brick removed from her wall of unassailability.

A golden rule of doing media interviews is always to answer or at least address the question. Dodging it altogether, especially four times, makes the dodger sound untrustworthy and even deceitful. May must quickly get out of that destructive habit while she has time.

She also needs to work out what her personal story is. Like it or not, successful leaders tell us a lot about themselves and their “journey” (think Bill Clinton, “the boy from Hope”). Yet May is clearly uncomfortable talking about herself and, for example, the trauma of losing both parents when she was young. That’s understandable, of course. But the danger is that her opponents will frame her story for her. Already titbits are leaking out that she is a control-freak when it comes to running the government. She needs a counter-story to challenge these damaging rumours.

Finally, what about her meeting with President Trump? As Prime Minister she hasn’t yet appeared at ease with foreign leaders, looking like Billy No-Mates at the EU summit in December. With Trump, there are other dangers. Let’s hope it’ll be a case of opposites attract, because they could hardly be more different – she guarded and shy, he belligerent and provocative. If she carries out a joint press conference with him she’s bound to be asked about his comments on women, disabled people and ethnic minorities – minefields, all of them. It will be a big test of her ability to be diplomatic, while conveying strength and thinking on her feet, and an equally big test of how much she has learned and improved since last summer.

May has many strengths as a leader, and has impressed onlookers by her determination, steady competence and ability to navigate through treacherous waters. She has earned public respect, if not public affection.

But as a media performer she’s weaker than any Prime Minister since Edward Heath 45 years ago.

So now is the moment, with her opponents struggling, to develop her personal communication skills. The time will inevitably come when she’ll need them to keep her premiership going.

Could Corbyn’s reboot to campaign like Trump work?

Spooked by diabolical poll ratings, Corbyn’s team want to ape some of Donald Trump’s campaigning tactics. Could Corbyn’s reboot to campaign like Trump work?

They want him to be unashamedly true to himself and his beliefs, reaching out directly to the voters and building up support not because of media approval, but despite media hostility. It will be ‘Jeremy Uncut’.

Could this work? In theory, yes.

Donald Trump proved it. His media strategy was anything but conventional. He delighted in confrontation, even with the Republican Party, attracting terrible headlines.

He tore up the rule book for media handling and campaigning, stretching to the very limit the theory that no news is bad news.

He made little attempt to win over journalists, but often attacked them, and portrayed the media as part of the discredited elite.

This neatly fed into voters’ frustration about the state of the economy, the forces of globalisation and the need for radical change. “At least he says what he thinks,” they said.

And Trump isn’t alone. Here in the UK, Nigel Farage pulled off a similar trick, portraying himself and his supporters as the people’s army fighting the establishment.

Like Trump, Farage refused to soften his message, happily provoking his opponents, unafraid of media scorn.

So what about Corbyn?

Could Corbyn's reboot to campaign like Trump work?

Could he become the anti-establishment populist of the left? After all, he too has faced a critical media from the moment he was elected, and deep animosity from his own party.

And many voters in Labour’s heartlands feel that same frustration about their economic prospects and the pace of change in a globalised world.

But whereas Trump has spent the last two years picking fights, lashing out and dominating the news bulletins – often distastefully, but always effectively – Corbyn has done the exact opposite, shying away from the spotlight and prevaricating for fear of offending.

He was practically invisible during the EU referendum campaign, the biggest decision this country has faced for 40 years.

He has no coherent message on immigration, which has become an obsession, particularly in Labour’s northern heartlands.

And when he does land on a radical initiative, such as a wage cap, he appears to take fright and back away – something that Trump and Farage would never do.

If a Corbyn reboot was ever going to work, it needed to be about a month after he was elected, after the negativity had started but before the outright hostility had set in.

He would still have had almost zero chance of becoming Prime Minister (he’s just too left wing for that, with priorities and beliefs way out of kilter with those of the average voter), but he would have gained respect for boldly saying it as he saw it, with a little more class than Trump displays.

The authentic Jezza – from the start.

Now it’s too late. The voters have made up their mind about him, with most, fairly or not, marking him down as an eccentric irrelevance.

Apart from his relatively few devoted followers, his support is draining away. Sadly, then, rebooting him is doomed to fail.


Can France’s mainstream media stop Le Pen?

Can France’s mainstream media stop Le Pen? Jolted by the shock results of Brexit then Trump, the western world is now braced for a third major upset – a possible victory for the far-right Marine Le Pen in the French presidential election next year.

Could it happen? Well, it looks unlikely. But that’s what people said about Brexit and Trump. It couldn’t happen because it was unthinkable. Then it happened.

Can France's Mainstream Media Stop Le Pen?
Politics is no longer Left vs Right, it’s now Globalist vs Nationalist

So what can the French mainstream, left and right, do to stop Le Pen marching in through the gates of the Élysée Palace? Here are this year’s lessons from the UK and US:

  1. Assume the worst. Hillary Clinton thought she had the presidency in the bag, so failed to campaign in states such as Wisconsin that Trump sneaked through to win. The UK’s Remain campaigners were convinced people would “see sense”, so failed to address their deep-seated resentment towards the EU and their thirst for a return of sovereignty. If France’s mainstream wants to stop Le Pen, it must take her threat seriously. Assuming it’ll be all right on the night – just because the alternative is unthinkable – will lead to disaster.
  1. Don’t take the voters for fools. For all his strengths as a campaigner, David Cameron tried to pull the wool over the voters’ eyes with the absurd “concessions” he claimed to have negotiated with other EU countries on free movement of people. The concessions were close to worthless. He knew it, the voters knew he knew it, and they resented his seemingly desperate, some would say dishonest, attempts to pretend otherwise. He’d have been better off with no concessions at all.
  1. Don’t insult the voters. Cameron once called UKIP voters “a bunch of fruit cakes, loonies and closet racists”. Hillary Clinton described Trump supporters as “a basket of deplorables” consisting of “the racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamaphobic, you name it”. If you want to drive voters away from you, insulting them is a great way of doing it. Instead, you must show that you understand – genuinely – their concerns about immigration, globalisation and the threats, as they see them, to their way of life. And if you really find it impossible to empathise with the way so many of your fellow countrymen think and feel, you shouldn’t be running for office in the first place.
  1. Set out a passionate and positive change agenda. Britain’s Remainers were arguing for the status quo. So was Hillary Clinton. In contrast, Trump and Britain’s Leavers offered a sea change – not just from the past few years, but from the past few decades. France is full of anger and resentment at a stalling economy, terrorism and “waves of immigration”. Unless Le Pen’s opponents show the French people that they offer wholesale change to match hers, she’ll have a great chance of victory. 
  1. Get your message right. Britain’s Leave campaign offered the beautifully simple yet powerful “Take back control”, which resonated with so many. Trump’s message was “Make America great again”, and the voters loved it. But what did their opponents offer? Clinton’s “Stronger together” was puny by comparison, and Remain’s “Stronger, safer and better off” tried to be three messages in one, which is always a bad idea. Win the battle of the topline message, and you go a long way towards winning power. 
  1. Be truthful and authentic. People are heartily sick of spin and lies. Yet, what was Hillary Clinton’s instinctive reaction to physically collapsing on the campaign trail? To seemingly lie about why it happened. And that’s before we even begin to look at email servers while she was Secretary of State. No wonder Trump’s “Crooked Hillary” line wounded her so much. People agreed with him, and could see how over-spun she’d become. In contrast, for all his deep faults as a human being, the voters recognised in Trump someone who “says what he thinks”. This is the post-spin age, where authenticity and sincerity matter most.

US Election is a battle between social media and mainstream media

As the U.S. presidential election reaches a critical phase, more than half of Americans are saying that the campaign is a very significant source of stress. The election related stress also seems to affect various generations of Americans differently, including those who consume news via social media versus those who use traditional mainstream media. The US Election is a battle between social media and mainstream media.

The American Psychological Association (APA) has made available specific data related to stress levels associated with the presidential election. According to the APA, social media appears to affect Americans’ stress levels when it comes to the election and related topics. More than one in four adults (38 percent) say that political and cultural discussions on social media cause them stress. Additionally, adults who use social media are more likely than adults who do not use social media to say the election is a very or somewhat significant source of stress (54 percent vs. 45 percent, respectively).

With mainstream media focusing on the Donald Trump “groping allegations” and social media focusing on the Wikileaks “Crooked Hillary” coverage, significant cognitive bias is being amplified and accelerated.

US Election is a battle between social media and mainstream media

Google Trends indicate that U.S. and worldwide Google searches for “Wikileaks and Clinton”  far exceed those for “Trump Sexual Allegations”.

US Election is a battle between social media and mainstream media

But mainstream media continues to focus on the Trump allegations and has very little coverage of the Clinton Wikileaks disclosures.

US Election is a battle between social media and mainstream media.

Trump and Clinton are both suffering from huge reputational damage that may well poison the eventual winners presidency. US electors are also suffering from cognitive dissonance and stress as a result of the schizophrenic news coverage.

While around half of adults, regardless of generation, report that the election is a very significant source of stress, youngest and oldest generations appear more likely to be affected, with 56 percent of Millennials (ages 19 to 37) and 59 percent of Matures (ages 71+) saying the election is a very significant source of stress. This is significantly more than the 45 percent of Gen Xers (ages 38 to 51), and directionally more so than the 50 percent of Boomers (ages 52 to 70).

It is likely that the battle between social media and mainstream media will get even more brutal in the weeks leading up to the election on November 8th. On the morning of November 9th, Americans may wake up divided and traumatised realising that no one has won.